|
Currency:
|
Iraqi Dinar (ID) |
 |
|
External Debt (2003E): |
estimates range from over
$100 billion to more than $300 billion |
|
Merchandise Exports (2002E):
|
$13.0 billion |
|
Merchandise Imports (2002E): |
$7.8 billion |
|
Merchandise Trade Balance (2002E): |
$5.2 billion |
|
Current Account Balance (2002E):
|
$2.3 billion |
|
Oil Export Revenues (2002E): |
$12.3 billion (includes $3 billion
or so in smuggling) |
|
Major Export Products (2002): |
Crude oil and oil products
(regulated by the United Nations) |
|
Unofficial Exchange Rate (7/03E): |
US$1=ID 1,500, compared to
around US$1=ID3,000 just after the war |
|
Major Import Products (2002):
|
Food, medicine, consumer goods
(regulated by the United Nations) |
The
Iraq economy is currently in a transition state from a strictly
government-controlled system to a free market system.
Since the 1980s, the economy had been on a continuous downward
spiral. Infact, Iraq has been categorized as one of the few Least
Developed Countries (LDCs) based on per capita GDP. However, with
the downfall of the Saddam regime and the subsequent takeover by
the US-led Iraqi interim government, Iraq's political and socio-economic
scenario have undergone major changes. Consequently, the real GDP
growth for 2004 and 2005 are estimated at 19 and 15 percents respectively.
Oil is considered the key ingredient for the growth of the
Iraqi economy. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects the
oil exports' deterioration in 2003 to reach USD9.3 billion, owing
to the debilitating consequences of war and sabotage. Investments
worth USD8 bn are required for the reconstruction of this sector
alone. Recently, Iraq’s oil exports have exceeded three-quarters
of the pre-war level, but 28% of revenues from these exports have
been deducted under the UN oil-for-food program to meet the bulk
of United Nations (UN) Compensation Fund and UN administrative expenses.
Iraq's Oil ministry forecasts indicate that the nation’s oil output
will recover its pre-war peak of 2.8mn barrels per day (b/d) towards
the end of the first-quarter of 2004, with exports of 2mn b/d.
A new banking law was brought into force during September
2003 to create a modern, liberalized banking system in the country.
Accordingly, six foreign banks are permitted to enter the Iraqi
market in the coming five years, after which period, no such restrictions
will apply. Also, any number of foreign banks can gain entry into
the country via purchase of up to 50 percent of a local bank. The
Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) has set up the Trade Bank
of Iraq (TDB) as a private bank, independent from the Central Bank
of Iraq, for the purpose of boosting trade.
Several years of war and sanctions have taken their toll on Iraq’s
infrastructure. Substantial investments are urgently required in
the sectors of oil and gas, electricity, ports and telecommunications.
Foreign and private investments have been eagerly invited to finance
these reconstruction projects, for which the CPA, the Iraqi Interim
Government and the US federal bodies, such as USAID, are organizing
and awarding contracts. The total costs for Iraq's reconstruction,
based on UN/World Bank and CPA estimates, will amount to approximately
USD56bn. Further, Iraq is also saddled with the economic burden
of USD199bn for the 1990-91 Gulf War reparations and a foreign debt
of USD127bn (IMF estimate). Hence, the US has been fiercely pushing
for international creditors to ‘forgive’ Iraqi debts.
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